Time-Series Analysis of Wave Elections
Date
2021Author
Evans, James
Publisher
University of Wisconsin--Stout. Office of Research and Sponsored Programs
Advisor(s)
Skorczewski, Tyler
Metadata
Show full item recordAbstract
A wave election is commonly defined as an election in which one party makes major gains. However, there is little consensus on what constitutes such gains. A wave election could also be thought of as an election in which the electorate voted in a fundamentally different way than preceding elections. In this study, we create a quantitative definition using ideas found in time-series analysis. We apply segmentation algorithms to election data to find the moments when these fundamental shifts in the electoral mood occur and build an objective definition of a wave election by comparing these results with past accepted wave election occurrences.
Permanent Link
http://digital.library.wisc.edu/1793/83388Citation
Evans, J. (2021). Time-Series Analysis of Wave Elections. University of Wisconsin-Stout Journal of Student Research, 19, 77-86.